每日地产丨买家争夺为数不多的拍卖物业,推动70%清空率成新常态-8月10日拍卖前瞻
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/ep-sjWxc0Lx1WuIjzW8HEPEEkWajDELNGKWrMrD8rbmqAjcCc1yizNkvoIiDKk9FeCfulS9STmvkl4VKayuV0UzCuCVDszbIe0O7AwevhBXA8dXfDRgsXiZ87Mk33IV0H0p-TjRXoR34f5FjUoQ_Xr1lXm-amZ_Ggc5EQTKzQrgZds9Ib02Ln1BLsLgee5UAiiHX3umcsC95NPV9DKWLTQ/awb.jpg)
8月3日周六的拍卖,上市物业数量依旧寥寥可数,买家的竞争使得悉尼和墨尔本拍卖清空率高于70%已经成为新常态。其中,悉尼清空率71%,墨尔本清空率74%。8月6日,RBA不出意料地维持利息不变,但多数专家预测年内还有两次降息,同时,量化宽松也屡屡被提起。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8gBpnh4E7KcWEY-KUXidU6GA5R9VwrGIqn4tpDHUyOClFy9fV6CuixHKE5ToVsgwIvlY_f4NWHHZm0VLWrFQBhjBN4NnNGOh1Ahr0o2fB_9cc-chtBMyWuB7DWQKRvwPgg/awb.jpg)
悉尼拍卖清空率再次70%以上
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8tzmH2EjbcmX9IuksE3K9X2jqWq5NKlDsku8BqtkcBn4GZUTvrdVa18AyqWQ3zvCnmBhwYThmPIIVUt3XUNf-tq9DMm3czUTLX-QjgWC-Iuh5rCwqZnK0jWcWJ_J5nrdeQ/awb.jpg)
我们先看最近八周的图表,清空率持续反弹,从6月初的50%多上升到目前的70%以上,增长明显;相比去年同期40-50%的清空率,房地产市场在众多利好消息的刺激下,已经触底反弹。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8tUMTX3iEWtT_E8dIDTmfuBimoBlC_8UlhQyF8BwfLjytV6ZaquofHmqLCQd8WYcDKs-B0nKV3OW4cN0ZSNq6C41MBGavg7SoMsuGsgLQARy2GWvbFu6HZlUizGxg6aXeQ/awb.jpg)
在过去几周,悉尼的拍卖数量起伏走低。6月15日473套的数量为八周最高,随后持续走低,到了8月3日,数量减少为322。不过7月历来是拍卖较不活跃的时段,参与拍卖的物业数量在当月均是下降明显,8月中下旬数量才会逐步增多。
清空率和去年同期相比,在过去八周内,全部高于去年同期,房市回暖痕迹明显。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8mbk10EG8-oO6rTLDhKKh05w4wCbj9OH59a8SplaWQGedFteF0TANh0-8ZzBw4ajkBB2HrDNi2RaVAwqd8Y2v4k1MBGavg7SoMsuGsgLQARy2GWvbFu6HZlUizGxg6aXeQ/awb.jpg)
中位价方面,与去年同期八周相比,只有两周胜出。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/ep-sjWxc0Lx1WuIjzW8HEPEEkWajDELNGKWrMrD8rbk_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8lD3355XqILRgR5xioiAgIYzPenCcQa-k6Zpp5gRkDiBiWOrIm_hvNcIAh7AsjvxVWHpb8XZ7XHOHRXbXzjDHx9MxjhAx8nQ3li4xcvAcgaKevM6ZUZVoUKfuUBUwkKQcA/awb.jpg)
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8vSepMCKg735eYzROUKMOUWHnasS3W5aok0Wikme2hNqGX3gpVb_8fg5rTZZZOEf4MaKRP90vtnHRbFHNJebIZeMSZvwdWX5NqFQBhkDB-BWh4vZK1KAuGRZSYJczLM7vg/awb.jpg)
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/ep-sjWxc0Lx1WuIjzW8HEPEEkWajDELNGKWrMrD8rbk_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8i32TJ7SLGqhOLVYHb-7KW_ix_apRFhVdtdK2iNYMJLHl2oFd_4oxZhoBJOnXeok8p7KtmmbqO7qpOoHcSW3vOk11LDSkDKt74yxO6PBZP9JaEBTPdP5lHwNylKR6DALWw/awb.jpg)
墨尔本清空率录得年内新高
我们再来看墨尔本,最近八周,清空率在起伏中向上突破又回调。最近八周有均录得60%以上。6月22日及29日,更是一鼓作气拿下69%。7月6日,13日,清空率稍微回落,但依然表现出色。7月20日,27日及8月3日清空率均为74%,为年内新高。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8o8yaVRvFUkDEZ7o87Enxe-_ucOW09ajotVPk8vQ2hgy7BGWZxR9luzEG0yQO1ttkOkzESXGbjHkM-E2pqhXNfeMSZvwdWX5NqFQBhkDB-BWh4vZK1KAuGRZSYJczLM7vg/awb.jpg)
拍卖数量方面,和悉尼一样,7月数据偏低。6月15日,有645套物业上市,为8周最高。6月22日及29日,数量分别为572套和465套。7月6日,只有338套物业参与拍卖。7月13日,进一步减少为320套,随后三周,有所反弹。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8u90sLvqIxbKQ2kwIDbwXGMDSyRI85A-SDDI5_tR0ImYEyjN4KW5Z2kn6ITRmRcD_pgpkEENRL7if31FrTsd2os1MBGavg7SoMsuGsgLQARy2GWvbFu6HZlUizGxg6aXeQ/awb.jpg)
墨尔本今年的清空率八周均比去年同期要好。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8t0xB1UMmYKYACtzja-z6rEQkE5hJDf9fS78mZrwOl_kTd3yFTaxqUOKrJ4gh65hCAWRAz0Gm5Xj0rzJsGfY-uzcRMU9_YTG_oG1CtV3yZXloXFxrNbqnI2aFqMEMvy_9Q/awb.jpg)
中位价方面,八周内有六周胜出。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/ep-sjWxc0Lx1WuIjzW8HEPEEkWajDELNGKWrMrD8rbk_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8lD3355XqILRgR5xioiAgIYzPenCcQa-k6Zpp5gRkDiBiWOrIm_hvNcIAh7AsjvxVWHpb8XZ7XHOHRXbXzjDHx9MxjhAx8nQ3li4xcvAcgaKevM6ZUZVoUKfuUBUwkKQcA/awb.jpg)
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8s26r6unMfaH_Lp4B0N4Op-uxZAVRkMLtCJ6VDqRIIWFajIdT7gv51DFu6gC7MKsQwblacaJ1Rxq5z0CpCHgsw_BN4NnNGOh1Ahr0o2fB_9cc-chtBMyWuB7DWQKRvwPgg/awb.jpg)
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/ep-sjWxc0Lx1WuIjzW8HEPEEkWajDELNGKWrMrD8rbk_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8i32TJ7SLGqhOLVYHb-7KW_ix_apRFhVdtdK2iNYMJLHl2oFd_4oxZhoBJOnXeok8p7KtmmbqO7qpOoHcSW3vOk11LDSkDKt74yxO6PBZP9JaEBTPdP5lHwNylKR6DALWw/awb.jpg)
其余三城涨跌互现
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8maTPo8y51FzuqZhDB23aEsu5e_zFsRK04NcacR-fKQBP9aJznPDjFfK7k5H1k56VhvvL12GwK-atLuoSmrowhy9DMm3czUTLX-QjgWC-Iuh5rCwqZnK0jWcWJ_J5nrdeQ/awb.jpg)
此外8月3日的拍卖,布里斯本56套,阿德莱德上市拍卖46套,堪培拉上市25套。清空率方面,布里斯本录得47%,阿德莱德47%,堪培拉录得48%。
最新澳洲房价增长指数(20190809)
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8nyElwJbhx2raabUHGrpbXtC1ztGX_h4K19GIzQ8CV156ZIonu7aHChTKK8uNUGelHFUTjVl8O6CHJ2IMLmkcQkGyw9yaLvqW_nN63ALza_ZwiD_ClUyjLq5ZnlB1nmoOQ/awb.jpg)
我们来看看澳洲各大城市房价的增长指数,该指数不分独立屋和公寓市场,统一计算。其中,在截至2019年8月9日的过去一年,悉尼表现最差,下行8.85%。而墨尔本跌去8.04%,布里斯本下跌2.45%,阿德莱德下行0.95%,珀斯下降8.79%。
而最近一个季度(三个月),悉尼房价上升0.15%,墨尔本上涨0.17%。
如果独立屋和公寓分开比较,我们可以参考Corelogic最新的月月结数据。
截至8月1日的一年里,霍巴特独立屋以3.1%的增幅拔得头筹。堪培拉以1.93%紧随其后。悉尼墨尔本这两大地产热门城市分别下行9.76%和10.67%,但在过去的一个月,悉尼墨尔本数据均获得正增长。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8ue-8ZdFb5Luo5uYZFLCOaVFf3knqFfm_aA7TXxLUj2E55TkhdE9c_1BUcnvVBNnwbHzGGbdclcwuWAXSSwQEeXcRMU9_YTG_oG1CtV3yZXloXFxrNbqnI2aFqMEMvy_9Q/awb.jpg)
我们再看下图,公寓方面的数据。悉尼公寓年内下跌7.14%,墨尔本下跌2.69%,同样在过去的一个月,悉尼墨尔本公寓数据均获得正增长。
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8rgWx9u_JPkTTeqTpH6kkZVggixBo8ldjUoHsOeZGxnwYu6qFSiGa30-0by5y1lKiVGvGdG8W1vMim34jM6SE-KMSZvwdWX5NqFQBhkDB-BWh4vZK1KAuGRZSYJczLM7vg/awb.jpg)
-end-
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/gPlFsC1KwQPfPc-3PqX6SWg89bU3XHIppoJf3vri6Aw_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8l431dlL9N7NHsEDJt7kzidManeRa_tcuB6BQHYkTgGPY8y0zkTaRixZ2HNNRABKzKRHniWUNHri6_4wTdDFtxc1MBGavg7SoMsuGsgLQARy2GWvbFu6HZlUizGxg6aXeQ/awb.jpg)
作者:梁杰夫
每日地产联合创始人
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/ep-sjWxc0Lx1WuIjzW8HEPEEkWajDELNGKWrMrD8rbmqAjcCc1yizNkvoIiDKk9FeCfulS9STmvkl4VKayuV0fHu253FjfEEsP7W2Yz6JvYV6cCdsFA1keBGdf-Ni7wp63kNlb1qF4ai_RUxbc-sCi2N8EWR23wfCIUo9ZaQRcsZds9Ib02Ln1BLsLgee5UAiiHX3umcsC95NPV9DKWLTQ/awb.jpg)
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/ep-sjWxc0Lx1WuIjzW8HEPEEkWajDELNGKWrMrD8rbk_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8irh7l6UPIRAyDFQ2Z2izyo_GNubaC8qAxS5Vj5WpGW_EvpQmudrSzfWENqYyC5xleM5L1xOLjwjxastgpO1RZ411LDSkDKt74yxO6PBZP9JaEBTPdP5lHwNylKR6DALWw/awb.jpg)
![](https://i.aoweibang.com/img/eZfqWeYjVLMfAzSheBozcm2vbh8n-9BSgHd0-ZxwgeI_JKl5gsGwcgRZsOWZ5WdrAfGvjypvtOMlG6O-t6ik8oM2RRPGidiiEaW_WxlMM9Q9jSUNssBOmYGgo07xZOgcytHBToX1RDTDLqyyQjfAQIDMrq3BFIuR9GtV9BN3kLcEkTe9siSannl7ix6BSAieOEE4Z_fTDyMZxRIqeQ6vhw/awb.jpg)